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The EB-5 in 2021: What Actually Happened

July 13, 2021·One Way Editorial·~4 min read
The EB-5 in 2021: What Actually Happened

No visa category had a stranger 2021 than the EB-5 immigrant investor program. In the space of one summer month, a federal court threw out the rules that had nearly doubled the minimum investment, and then the program's dominant channel, the regional center, lost its legal authorization entirely. Investors went from a briefly reopened bargain window to a full freeze, and the whiplash defined the year.

June's court ruling: back to $500,000

In late June 2021, a federal judge in the Behring Regional Center case vacated the 2019 EB-5 Modernization Rule, finding it had been issued by an improperly appointed DHS official. The practical effect was dramatic: the minimum investment in a targeted employment area snapped back from $900,000 to the old $500,000, and TEA designation authority returned to its pre-2019 form. For a few frantic weeks, investors raced to file at the restored lower threshold.

Whatever one thinks of the right dollar amount, the ruling was a rule-of-law lesson: regulations issued without proper authority do not stand. Process matters, even when the outcome scrambles markets.

June 30: the regional center cliff

Days later, the second shoe dropped. The regional center program, the pooled-investment structure through which the overwhelming majority of EB-5 capital flows, existed only through periodic congressional reauthorization, and on June 30, 2021, Congress let it lapse without renewal. The consequences ran through year-end:

The lapse dragged on through the rest of 2021 as Congress debated reforms. Long-promised integrity measures, addressing years of documented fraud scandals in the program, became the price of reauthorization, and that bargain would be struck the following March.

The year's quieter storylines

Beneath the drama, chronic issues persisted: multi-year processing times on I-526 petitions, visa backlogs for mainland-Chinese investors, and pandemic-era consular delays for those at the final step. Meanwhile, direct EB-5 filings, unaffected by the lapse, saw a niche surge at the restored $500,000 level from investors willing to run their own job-creating businesses.

What this means for you

The 2021 convulsions taught durable lessons for anyone considering EB-5:

2021 proved that the EB-5's promise, green cards earned by job-creating investment, is only as strong as the program's legal foundations and integrity. The chaos set the stage for genuine reform, and investors who understood both the risk and the process came through it strongest.

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